Climate

Groundhog Day 2026

So, we don’t have any groundhogs (captive or not) in our corner of the Sonoran Desert, therefore, a Ground Squirrel will have to do. The little guy saw his shadow and the resulting forecast is for six more weeks of Arizona Awesome.

Alexa‘s take on today:

Groundhog Day is a quirky North American tradition celebrated every February 2nd, where a groundhog (most famously “Punxsutawney Phil” in Pennsylvania) emerges from its burrow to “predict” the weather. If the groundhog sees its shadow, legend says we’ll have six more weeks of winter; if not, spring arrives early.

Origins & History

The tradition traces back over 2,000 years to ancient Rome, where people observed hedgehogs on February 2nd to predict spring’s arrival. German immigrants brought this custom to America in the early 1800s, switching from hedgehogs to groundhogs since hedgehogs weren’t native to Pennsylvania. The official Punxsutawney celebration began in 1886 when a local newspaper first acknowledged the tradition.

The Prediction

While the ceremony remains wildly popular, scientific studies show no consistent correlation between shadow-sighting and actual weather patterns. It’s pure folklore—but that’s exactly what makes it charming! The tradition connects to “Candlemas”, a Christian festival where clear weather was believed to foretell extended winter.

It’s essentially a delightful excuse to embrace winter whimsy and hope for spring—regardless of what Phil actually “sees”!

Click on the image above to view “Arizona Andy the Antelope Squirrel” enlarged.

FotoFutz

Fotofutz is a made-up word to describe my latest reinterest in photography and the associated equipment. So, here are a couple of new images taken this morning:

The first image (above) is of the sky to the southeast of our place here in Arizona around 9AM. there were lots of clouds with a few holes skyward. I used a stopped-down ISO and Shutter speed to get the image without over exposing the bright sunlit clouds.

This image I call “Sparrows” since those are what are perched on the withering rosemary bush atop our back yard near the feeders. The birds flushed shortly after I captured the photo. The image was taken with my venerable Canon SL3 camera and the everyday lens I use – the Canon EF-s 55-250mm telephoto. This lens is handy for getting close-ups of the critters that populate our fair and tranquil spot of Arizona. Click on both images to view enlarged.

Red Sky at Night

There is an old saying among mariners: “Red Sky in Morning – Sailors take warning; Red Sky at Night – Sailor’s Delight.” I asked Alexa about it – is it accurate and where did it originate?

The accuracy is quite impressive for middle latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere. The reddest of red skies occur when there is high atmospheric pressure, and depending on whether that happens at sunrise or sunset, it could mean a storm is brewing. Here’s how it works:

Red Sky at Night (Sailor’s Delight):

  • A reddish sunset means that the air is dusty and dry. Since weather in North American latitudes usually moves from west to east, a red sky at sunset means dry weather—good for sailing—is moving east
  • A red sunset often means that there are clouds in the east and clear skies to the west, an indication of approaching high pressure and good weather

Red Sky in Morning (Sailors Take Warning):

  • A reddish sunrise means that dry air from the west has already passed over us on their way easy, clearing the way for a storm to move in
  • Red skies in the morning can mean clouds invading from the west, often the forerunner of approaching storms

Historical Origins

Variations of this adage can be traced back to biblical times and are based on the experiences of mariners who sailed the Earth’s middle latitudes, where storms generally travel from west to east. The most popular version arises during to 1600 to 1800s during the age of sail.

The saying has evolved across cultures – in England, the saying is slightly different: Red sky at night shepherd’s delight, Red sky in the morning, sailor’s warning/shepherds take warning.

So, given the historical lore and somewhat accurate forecasts, we should expect good weather. However, NOAA is forecasting rain most of the day tomorrow. We shall see.

Image courtesy Verna. Click to view enlarged.

The Big Drip

Over the past couple of days, we have been enjoying some gentile rain showers to replenish the desert with badly-needed moisture. The showers, mostly, have been God-given blessings with the several instances of a little flooding here and there. It’ll get resolved, I’m sure.

As I went out for my morning walkabout today, I took several photos of Verna’s rain bucket under the rain gutter. I selected the above image to post in that it shows some of the dynamic action of the dripping water. Click on the image to enlarge.

I asked GROK to analyze the image.

The image shows a close-up, high-speed photograph of multiple water drops impacting a body of water (likely the surface of water in a rain bucket or similar container). This is a classic example of the fluid dynamics phenomena that occur when a drop hits a liquid surface.

This type of photograph is commonly used to study drop impact dynamics, coalescence, splash suppression, inkjet printing physics, and related fluid mechanics topics. The image beautifully captures several stages of the impact process in a single frame.

I love some of the stuff that comes out from some AI engines. Some, however, not so much. GROK does mostly OK.

Spring Song

This 10 second video is of a Curve-Billed Thrasher singing what sounds like a mating call. It’s not the usual loud “weee-weet-tweet” that we hear during other times of the year. Could it be that we’re getting an early spring about four weeks ahead of schedule? The forecast for our part of Arizona calls for 80° temperatures by the weekend.

AS you can see from the video, holding the camera steady at 250mm zoom is difficult without a bi- or tripod. I made this video today with my Canon EOS Rebel SL3 and the EF 55-250mm lens. I am still experimenting with and getting used to making videos with the Canon camera.